Full metadata record
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | 유창현 | * |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-01-02T16:30:23Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2019-01-02T16:30:23Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2018 | * |
dc.identifier.issn | 0894-8755 | * |
dc.identifier.issn | 1520-0442 | * |
dc.identifier.other | OAK-23973 | * |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dspace.ewha.ac.kr/handle/2015.oak/248113 | - |
dc.description.abstract | A composite-based statistical model utilizing Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns is developed to predict East Asian wintertime surface air temperature for lead times out to 6 weeks. The level of prediction is determined by using the Heidke skill score. The prediction skill of the statistical model is compared with that of hindcast simulations by a climate model, Global Seasonal Forecast System, version 5. When employed individually, three teleconnections (i.e., the east Atlantic/western Russian, Scandinavian, and polar/Eurasian teleconnection patterns) are found to provide skillful predictions for lead times beyond 4-5 weeks. When information from the teleconnections and the long-term linear trend are combined, the statistical model outperforms the climate model for lead times beyond 3 weeks, especially during those times when the teleconnections are in their active phases. | * |
dc.language | English | * |
dc.publisher | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC | * |
dc.subject | Teleconnections | * |
dc.subject | Statistical forecasting | * |
dc.title | Subseasonal Prediction of Wintertime East Asian Temperature Based on Atmospheric Teleconnections | * |
dc.type | Article | * |
dc.relation.issue | 22 | * |
dc.relation.volume | 31 | * |
dc.relation.index | SCIE | * |
dc.relation.index | SCOPUS | * |
dc.relation.startpage | 9351 | * |
dc.relation.lastpage | 9366 | * |
dc.relation.journaltitle | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE | * |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0811.1 | * |
dc.identifier.wosid | WOS:000448736500001 | * |
dc.author.google | Yoo, Changhyun | * |
dc.author.google | Johnson, Nathaniel C. | * |
dc.author.google | Chang, Chueh-Hsin | * |
dc.author.google | Feldstein, Steven B. | * |
dc.author.google | Kim, Young-Ha | * |
dc.contributor.scopusid | 유창현(7201746369) | * |
dc.date.modifydate | 20240322114120 | * |