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Recovery from a currency crisis: Some stylized facts
- Title
- Recovery from a currency crisis: Some stylized facts
- Authors
- Hong K.; Tornell A.
- Ewha Authors
- 홍기석
- SCOPUS Author ID
- 홍기석
- Issue Date
- 2005
- Journal Title
- Journal of Development Economics
- ISSN
- 0304-3878
- Citation
- Journal of Development Economics vol. 76, no. 1, pp. 71 - 96
- Indexed
- SSCI; SCOPUS
- Document Type
- Article
- Abstract
- Using a comprehensive data set of over 100 developing countries, this paper examines how economies recover from a currency crisis. Some of the regularities found are listed below. First, it takes less than 3 years for the GDP growth rate to fully recover its tranquil-period average. The level of GDP, however, remains permanently below its initial trend, suggesting that the shocks underlying a crisis are persistent. Second, the credit crunch problem lasts much longer than the reduction in the GDP growth rate. Third, the pre-crisis credit expansion and reserve inadequacy, which have been widely recognized as the main causes of a crisis, also are closely related to the extent of the post-crisis recession. Fourth, crisis episodes that are caused mainly by illiquidity, rather than by insolvency, tend to exhibit a sharp recovery. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2003.12.012
- Appears in Collections:
- 사회과학대학 > 경제학전공 > Journal papers
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