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An invariant sign test for random walks based on recursive median adjustment
- Title
- An invariant sign test for random walks based on recursive median adjustment
- Authors
- So B.S.; Shin D.W.
- Ewha Authors
- 소병수; 신동완
- SCOPUS Author ID
- 소병수; 신동완
- Issue Date
- 2001
- Journal Title
- Journal of Econometrics
- ISSN
- 0304-4076
- Citation
- Journal of Econometrics vol. 102, no. 2, pp. 197 - 229
- Indexed
- SCIE; SSCI; SCOPUS
- Document Type
- Article
- Abstract
- We propose a new invariant sign test for random walks against general stationary processes and develop a theory for the test. In addition to the exact binomial null distribution of the test, we establish various important properties of the test: the consistency against a wide class of possibly nonlinear stationary autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic processes and/or heavy-tailed errors; a local asymptotic power advantage over the classical Dickey-Fuller test; and invariance to monotone data transformations, to conditional heteroscedasticity and to heavy-tailed errors. Using the sign test, we also investigate various interrelated issues such as M-estimator, exact confidence interval, sign test for serial correlation, robust inference for a cointegration model, and discuss possible extensions to models with autocorrelated errors. Monte-Carlo experiments verify that the sign test has not only very stable sizes but also locally better powers than the parametric Dickey-Fuller test and the nonparametric tests of Granger and Hallman (1991. Journal of Time Series Analysis 12, 207-224) and Burridge and Guerre (1996. Econometric Theory 12, 705-719) for heteroscedastic and/or heavy tailed errors. © 2001 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.
- DOI
- 10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00053-7
- Appears in Collections:
- 자연과학대학 > 통계학전공 > Journal papers
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