View : 316 Download: 83

Full metadata record

DC Field Value Language
dc.contributor.author유창현-
dc.date.accessioned2019-01-02T16:30:23Z-
dc.date.available2019-01-02T16:30:23Z-
dc.date.issued2018-
dc.identifier.issn0894-8755-
dc.identifier.issn1520-0442-
dc.identifier.otherOAK-23973-
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.ewha.ac.kr/handle/2015.oak/248113-
dc.description.abstractA composite-based statistical model utilizing Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns is developed to predict East Asian wintertime surface air temperature for lead times out to 6 weeks. The level of prediction is determined by using the Heidke skill score. The prediction skill of the statistical model is compared with that of hindcast simulations by a climate model, Global Seasonal Forecast System, version 5. When employed individually, three teleconnections (i.e., the east Atlantic/western Russian, Scandinavian, and polar/Eurasian teleconnection patterns) are found to provide skillful predictions for lead times beyond 4-5 weeks. When information from the teleconnections and the long-term linear trend are combined, the statistical model outperforms the climate model for lead times beyond 3 weeks, especially during those times when the teleconnections are in their active phases.-
dc.languageEnglish-
dc.publisherAMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC-
dc.subjectTeleconnections-
dc.subjectStatistical forecasting-
dc.titleSubseasonal Prediction of Wintertime East Asian Temperature Based on Atmospheric Teleconnections-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.relation.issue22-
dc.relation.volume31-
dc.relation.indexSCIE-
dc.relation.indexSCOPUS-
dc.relation.startpage9351-
dc.relation.lastpage9366-
dc.relation.journaltitleJOURNAL OF CLIMATE-
dc.identifier.doi10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0811.1-
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000448736500001-
dc.author.googleYoo, Changhyun-
dc.author.googleJohnson, Nathaniel C.-
dc.author.googleChang, Chueh-Hsin-
dc.author.googleFeldstein, Steven B.-
dc.author.googleKim, Young-Ha-
dc.contributor.scopusid유창현(56577314700)-
dc.date.modifydate20200301081000-


qrcode

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

BROWSE